TDG Opinions

Netflix Making Blu-ray Players into Internet Set Top Boxes?


Bookmark and Share   Subscribe to RSS Feeds   Subscribe for TDG UpdatesDownload More Info

Is Netflix Making Blu-ray Players into Internet Set Top Boxes?
Andy Tarczon, Founding Partner

November 11, 2009

To date, the most successful Over-the-Top (OTT) video play has been the game console. With internet connectivity, video rendering, and established commerce capabilities, they have been the no-brainer platform to establish streaming to the television. Take for example Netflix on Xbox - within 12 weeks of release, more than one million consoles had downloaded and registered the software. So it was with great enthusiasm that the recent Sony PS3 and Netflix deal was received. However, while game consoles have been an easy pathway to the television (and will continue to be), this deal hints at a new wave of connectivity just now emerging ….

This past week, Netflix announced shipping of the first 100,000 PS3 integration disks. That was followed with yesterday’s blog post that all remaining requests were now shipping.

Netflix’s PS3 integration is happening not via a native software download, but utilizing disks that run in the built-in Blu-ray player. How was this done? Via a licensing deal with our friends* at RCDb. Yesterday it was announced that RCDb has licensed BD-Live software to Netflix for the PS3 Instant Streaming disc.

It is the BD-Live aspect that makes this deal so intriguing. In our soon-to-be-released report, Broadband-Enabled TV: Evolution of OTT Hardware Platforms, we forecast that Blu-ray players will account for 14% of the OTT market by 2014.

So is this Netflix / RCDb deal limited to just the PS3? For now, yes.... However, comments from RCDb’s CEO, Zane Vella, seem to indicate something more may be underway. According to Vella, “Blu-ray is now mainstream and BD-Live provides an important bridge between physical discs and premium digital content distribution.”

Despite several complaints of the application loading and movie streaming starting slowly (a bit reminiscent of when Netlfix's Xbox client launched), this is a major victory for RCDb.  However, they are just one of the companies looking to leverage the Blu-ray player as an Internet set-top box (iSTB). Back in March, in a note to TDG Members, I spoke about the “rise of virtual providers” that would soon be vying for a slice of the digital delivery market. That piece highlighted Dreamer’s Biddle for Blu-ray players.

The vision for these players has been simple: buy a Blu-ray player at your local retailer and receive a free disk that enables you to use an Internet connection to access additional content from that retailer – videos, concerts, music, even games – directly on TV. In an instant, the Blu-ray player becomes a true iSTB capable of delivering a customized experience directly to the consumer. While I’ve made this retailer as service provider argument before, it has become even more poignant given last week’s Best Buy / Sonic announcement.

But such service plays will extend beyond retailers and ultimately beyond Netflix. Such plays will also provide low-cost devices that allow service providers to rapidly build services that, as Michael Greeson recently argued, “reach beyond the confines of their own TV territories and into the backyards of other cable operators.”

And both RCDb and Dreamer’s Biddle (now renamed BluTV) seem to have the right position at the right time. As Colin Dixon recently pointed out, it will be a Blu-ray Christmas as prices retail drop below $100.

For more on the emerging OTT space, be sure to join us for our free webinar “Demystifying Broadband TV” on November 17th.

 

*Note: We say “friends” as RCDb recently tapped Hervé Utheza, TDG Analyst Emeritus, as president. He did not, however, contribute to this article.

 



ShareThis

Comments

 

David H Deans said:

Andy, I can't wait to see what disruptive game-changing new technology will be launched at CES in January.

With the growth of Internet-enabled TVs (ethernet or wi-fi connections) accelerating, the OTT delivery options mean that there's something here for everybody -- tech-savvy, or not.

cheers, David

November 12, 2009 7:20 AM
 

Andy Tarczon said:

Hi David - Well, we know we can expect more devices that can receive content, cheaper devices to create content, and new devices to share content both inside and outside the home.   But none of those is really game changing.  

It is the content model where the greatest innovation is happening.  Whether in an Over-the-Top play (as in Apple's rumored subscription or Zillion's delivery efforts) or from the existing paytv services like TV Everywhere which will extend paytv services to the PC and mobile environment.  

Content companies themeselves are toying with direct delivery to the consumer - as in Sony's "Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs" experiment, err, promotion.  

But there are other innovations to the content model that leverage what we've learned in the social media sphere.  Take for example YouTube clips.  The content companies would love to monetize the ability to create and share clips, and indeed we're expecting several announcements along those lines soon.  

It is the new models which enhance or extend content experiences where I expect the biggest game changers will occur.  

November 12, 2009 9:08 AM

About Andy Tarczon

Andy has spent the past 15 years in consumer computing concentrating on storage, media devices, and mobile systems. As Founding Partner, his focus is managing the corporate development team and working with TDG Members and clients to develop strategies for the digital media ecosystem.